We bet on the industry's wins, not its losses.
Forecast spirits M&A, James Beard winners, Spirited Awards, legislation, and the stuff the industry actually argues about. 100% Free.
Fresh from the wire. Short windows, fast resolution.
Real questions about the spirits and bar industry. Each one has a named source and a resolution date.
Anywhere from 1% to 99%. Think calibration, not certainty. You can update until the market closes.
We resolve from a public source. Brier score = (forecast - outcome)2. Lower is better. Lowest mean Brier wins the month.
The board fills out as markets resolve. Minimum five resolved predictions to qualify.